No one today would, or
should, use that musty old expression, which dates back to the Cold War.
For one thing, it's not even clear precisely what the free world is.
Still, it's worth pondering whether if in the next election, American
voters will crown the most powerful man in the world, the man who will
lead the world's democracies and inspire those who aspire to freedom. In
short: Does America, and the American president, still matter that much
to the rest of the planet?
Frida Ghitis
I spent much of the time
leading up to the last two presidential elections traveling overseas.
Back then, conversations with non-Americans revealed anxiety about the
elections, which would result in consecutive terms for George W. Bush.
More than once I heard the comment that the whole world should be
allowed to vote in the U.S. election, because the outcome would affect
people's lives everywhere.
For many decades, the
security of Europe depended on Washington's protection, and the world
economy rose and fell on the fate of America's economic growth.
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Today, America seems
little more than a bystander on many of the top global issues. The
European economic crisis does not hinge on U.S. actions. Developing
economies worry more about Chinese than American growth. Those who
believed peace between Arabs and Israelis depends on the United States
are no longer so convinced. The Arab uprisings, revolutions and civil
wars have seen some U.S. involvement -- most notably in Libya -- but
they have largely unfolded on their own stage, with America sitting in
the audience, at times cheering, criticizing or just offering an
opinion.
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It would be easy to
conclude that America's presidential election this time around is a
matter of concern only to Americans. But that would be wrong.
The world remains
enthralled with American politics. No other election on the planet
receives a similar amount of attention. Not even close.
I have just returned from
another couple of rounds abroad and still I see enormous interest in
U.S. politics. Headlines everywhere follow the minutiae of the
protracted U.S. presidential election. From Latin America to Asia,
people heard about Republican candidates Rick Santorum and Newt
Gingrich. They are intrigued that Mitt Romney is a Mormon, and they have
heard about issues of U.S. health care and American troops in
Afghanistan.
Still, the sense that
the U.S. election will have a direct and immediate impact on everyone's
life seems to have receded compared to the days of the Iraq war.
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People with Internet connections for the first time had the opportunity to watch the presidential debates. According to YouTube, millions watched live, at all hours of the day and night, in 215 countries and territories.
One poll,
conducted by Gallup in 30 countries, interviewing 26,000 people, found
42% say they wish they could vote in the U.S. election. The number is
even greater for young people, which shows it's not just Cold War
nostalgia at work in the emotional connection to the United States.
Nearly two-thirds of those asked said a U.S. president has a great impact on life in their own countries.
Over the years, many
people have resented American influence and power. When the Soviet Union
collapsed and the competition between the two superpowers left only one
standing, the French, in particular, derided America as the "Hyperpower."
Resentment of U.S. power will never die in some quarters, but the polls show a majority of Europeans consider American leadership in world affairs "desirable."
When the president of France started pushing
for Western intervention to prevent civilian massacres in Libya, it
took American power to make it happen. With tragic symmetry, the
massacres have continued in Syria as Washington decided not to
intervene.
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The world watches America's top politicians. It gets to know them, and everyone has an opinion.
A number of polls show
Barack Obama is the overwhelming favorite to win this election; that's
among non-Americans. The Gallup Global Poll found Obama ahead by 81% to
19%. Another poll
commissioned by the BBC and conducted in 21 countries showed Obama
ahead 50% to 21%. The president was ahead everywhere except in Pakistan,
where Romney edged ahead, but neither candidate was liked by even 20%
of those questioned.
Obama was enormously popular in Europe, Australia, Canada, Nigeria, Kenya, Panama, Brazil and other countries.
It's also not as if the
world started paying attention only as the elections approached.
Pollsters have been taking the temperature of global opinion all along.
Obama came to office with enormous support at home and abroad. As his
popularity numbers started coming down to earth in the United States,
they did the same in other countries.
Early this year, the international consensus was against
Obama. Just 46% wanted him re-elected, according to Gallup's March
poll. His approval rating collapsed, particularly in Arab countries,
scraping the bottom in Egypt at just 19%.
As the alternative
emerged, views changed. Now that they see it's Obama or Romney, the
world says give us Obama. I'll leave the explanation of that reaction
for another day.
The United States has
undoubtedly lost a great deal of the influence it once had. It doesn't
always have the ability or the inclination to shape events. Power is
more widely divided, but still today nobody has more of it. And that
power is not just measured in money or guns. It is still measured in
ideas and values. That's why polls show so many people still look to the
United States and say they want America to hold on to its position of
global leadership.
The entire world is
paying attention to the American election, because the president of the
United States, whoever he (yes, still he) is, remains the most powerful
and influential human being on Earth.